← Grand Archive TCG - PTM Store Championship @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG - PTM Store Championship @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
8-3-2
overall winrate
69.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.8%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
54.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1316
· median 1316
· range 1289–1343
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1085
Q1 1177
Q3 1340
1480
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.1% | +1.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Fire Exia | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.2% | +7.8 |
| Water Genbu | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +11.0 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
